The Toronto Raptors beat the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 5. On Saturday, the Raptors can close out Milwaukee and march to the NBA Finals. Will Toronto get the job done? Or will Giannis and the Bucks step it up? Check out our NBA Playoff odds, analysis, and a free pick for Raptors-Bucks Game 6!
Bucks vs Raptors NBA Playoffs Game 6 Odds, Preview & Prediction
Why Milwaukee Bucks are a good bet at +2 ½?
As a 7-point favorite, the Milwaukee Bucks were supposed to beat the Raptors in the key Game 5 on Thursday night. Not only did the Bucks lose, but they played terribly. Milwaukee only shot 32.3% from three and lacked on three-point defense.
If Milwaukee can play defense along the arc much better, they’ll have a chance to upset the Raptors. The Bucks must also shoot much better than 10-of-31 from the three-point line. Those two things could lead to a straight up Milwaukee win.
- Points/G: 118.1
- Field Goal %: 47.6
- 3-Point %: 35.3
- Free Throw %: 77.3
- Rebounds/G: 49.7
- Points/G: 109.3
- Field Goal %: 43.3
- 3-Point %: 36.1
- Free Throw %: 73.3
- Rebounds/G: 45.3
Why Toronto Raptors are a good bet at -2 ½?
Toronto didn’t shoot better than Milwaukee from the field in Game 5. The Bucks also outrebounded the Raptors, but what Toronto did do well was shoot the trey. The Raptors were good on 10-of-43 three-point shots. That’s 41.9%.
If the Raptors are successful in Game 6 from behind the arc, they’ll win Game 6. They’ll also cover the spread as the favored team.
- Points/G: 114.4
- Field Goal %: 47.4
- 3-Point %: 36.6
- Free Throw %: 80.4
- Rebounds/G: 45.2
- Points/G: 108.4
- Field Goal %: 44.9
- 3-Point %: 34.5
- Free Throw %: 76.5
- Rebounds/G: 44.8
NBA Playoffs Betting Trends for Bucks vs Raptors
- Bucks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall
- Bucks are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 1 days rest
- Underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings
- Raptors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 home games
- Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win
- Raptors are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest
Bucks vs Raptors Game 6 Final Analysis
Heading into this series, Milwaukee had a single flaw. While the Bucks ranked first in field goal percentage allowed, 43.3%, they ranked twenty-second in three-point percentage allowed. Milwaukee allows it’s opponents to shoot 36.1% from three.
In Game 5, they spent a lot of time dropping down and helping in the paint. Milwaukee can’t do that in Game 6 if they hope to beat the Raptors. While we can expect the Bucks to adjust and not leave as many open three-point shooters, we should expect Toronto to adjust during the game as well.
The Raptors will have more success in the paint if Milwaukee doesn’t drop players from the three-point line. Either way, Toronto’s got the advantage. The Raptors win Game 6 and march to the NBA Finals to take on the Golden State Warriors.
NBA Playoffs Betting Pick: Raptors -2 ½