The Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets dance one more time on Sunday, May 12. Portland beat the Nuggets to force a Game 7. Can the Trail Blazers prevail over Denver in the Pepsi Center? See below for NBA Playoffs betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Trail Blazers-Nuggets Game 7!
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Trail Blazers vs Nuggets NBA Playoffs Game 7 Lines & Expert Preview
Why Portland Trail Blazers are a good bet at +4 ½?
Portland had to beat Denver in Game 6 to keep their NBA Title hopes alive. They did just that with a stunning 119-108 win. As a -4 home favorite, the Trail Blazers crushed the spread.
What’s really inspiring is how Portland shot both from the field and behind the arc. The Trail Blazers went 41-of-89 from the field for 46.1%. They went 15-of-33 from the three-point line for 45.5%. If Portland remains hot, they can beat the Nuggets straight up, much less cover.
Team Statistics
Offense:
- Points/G: 114.7
- Field Goal %: 46.7
- 3-Point %: 35.9
- Free Throw %: 81.4
- Rebounds/G: 48
Defense:
- Points/G: 110.5
- Field Goal %: 45.7
- 3-Point %: 35.9
- Free Throw %: 77
- Rebounds/G: 42.8
Why Denver Nuggets are a good bet at -4 ½?
The Nuggets had a chance to close out the series in Game 6. Unfortunately for them, they had their worst shooting night in the series. Denver was only good on 38.4% from their shots from the field. They shot only 37.5% from three.
The good news for Denver is that they only had 6 turnovers. If they revert back to their 46.7% shooting average from the field, they should prevail both SU and ATS on Sunday.
Team Statistics
Offense:
- Points/G: 110.7
- Field Goal %: 46.6
- 3-Point %: 35.1
- Free Throw %: 75.5
- Rebounds/G: 46.4
Defense:
- Points/G: 106.7
- Field Goal %: 45.8
- 3-Point %: 33.9
- Free Throw %: 75.3
- Rebounds/G: 42.5
NBA Playoffs Betting Trends for Trail Blazers vs Nuggets
- Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games
- Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win
- Trail Blazers are 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings
- Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss
- Nuggets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Game 7 Final Analysis
Portland played great defense in Game 6. Denver has a chance to turn it around in Game 7, though. The Nuggets dominated Portland 124-98 in Game 5. That was the last game in the series in the Pepsi Center.
Denver’s a different team on their home court. They went 24-16-1 against the spread at home. They shoot better and they play better defense on their own court. In the Game 5 win, the Nuggets held the Trail Blazers to 36.7% from the field and 27% form three. Denver won’t have to be that great to win and cover on Sunday.
All they must do is shoot their average from the field. If they do that, it’s hard to see the Trail Blazers beating Denver on May 12.
NBA Playoffs Betting Pick: Nuggets -4 ½