Heat vs Celtics 2019 NBA Odds & Betting Prediction


The Miami Heat beat a top squad in the Toronto Raptors on Tuesday night. Boston hosts the Heat with the same exact 14-5 record. Can Miami make it back-to-back victories over an Eastern Conference power on Wednesday? Will the Boston Celtics take the win and cover? Check out the NBA odds, a preview, and a free pick for Celtics vs Heat!

Heat vs Celtics 2019 NBA Odds, Game Preview & Betting Prediction

Why the Miami Heat are a good bet +5 ½?

Miami shoots 47.6% from the field. That ranks 5th in the NBA. They also shoot 39% from three. That ranks 3rd in the NBA. On defense, the Heat rank in the Top 10 in field goal percentage allowed and 3-points percentage allowed. Opponents shoot 43.6%, ranking 8th. Foes shoot 31.2% from three. That ranks 2nd. That’s the goal. To shoot well when you have the ball and to keep opponents from shooting well when they have the ball. Few teams reach that goal as often as the Heat.

Team Statistics


  • Points/G: 111.4
  • Field Goal %: 47.7
  • 3-Point %: 38.9
  • Free Throw %: 76.3
  • Rebounds/G: 44.6


  • Points/G: 105.1
  • Field Goal %: 43.9
  • 3-Point %: 31.5
  • Free Throw %: 75.9
  • Rebounds/G: 40.4

Why the Boston Celtics are a good bet -5 ½?

The Boston Celtics are undefeated at home. The Celtics have won all 7 of their home contests this season. Not only have they won SU, but they’ve also won ATS. Boston is a great 4-2-1 against the spread in home games. The Celtics are back at the TD Garden after a couple of road battles. Also, Miami had a tough game on Tuesday night while Boston battles the Heat off 3-days rest.

Team Statistics


  • Points/G: 110.7
  • Field Goal %: 44.1
  • 3-Point %: 34.5
  • Free Throw %: 80
  • Rebounds/G: 46.6


  • Points/G: 104.5
  • Field Goal %: 43.3
  • 3-Point %: 34.0
  • Free Throw %: 74.0
  • Rebounds/G: 47.3

NBA Betting Trends for Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

  • Versus an Eastern Conference opponent Heat have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10
  • In their last 5 playing on 0 days rest, the Heat are 1-3-1 ATS
  • Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games
  • The over is 2-8 in the Heat’s last 11 games following an ATS win
  • In the last 11 meetings, the road team is 9-2 ATS
  • The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings at home
  • Versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, the under is 13-3 in the Celtics last 16 games

Heat vs Celtics Final NBA Betting Analysis

The betting line should drift up from here. Boston had a 3-day break while Miami battled Toronto on the road on Tuesday night. Often, the team that must play back-to-back games fails in the second matchup.

Even though that could happen here, the opposite could also happen. Miami didn’t just beat the Raptors on Dec. 3. The Heat dominated the Raptors 121-110. They have momentum they can carry into Wednesday.

The Celtics give up a ton of points here. Boston won’t go undefeated at home. Consider the moneyline on Miami. If you want to be conservative, take the points on the Heat.

NBA Free Pick: Heat +5 ½

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