The PGA Tour Champions stops by the Woodlands Country Club this week for the 12th straight year.
With the first major of the season on tap beginning next Thursday, players on the 50-and-over circuit are poised to get their games in order.
Perhaps that’s why we’ve got such a loaded field gathered just north of Houston at the 2019 Insperity Invitational.
Bernhard Langer hoisted the trophy at this event in 2018 — the fourth time he has won this tournament during his career. I think I speak for all of us in the golf betting industry when I say that no one is surprised to see him as the odds-on favorite to emerge this Sunday.
Speaking of odds to win this week on the Champions Tour, take a peek at the prices you have to work with.
Betting the 2019 Insperity Invitational – Odds to Win
As I mentioned, Bernhard is right where he belongs, perched atop the totem pole.
Miguel Angel Jimenez+1600
Tom Pernice Jr.+6000
Wes Short Jr.+7500
Unfortunately, after shopping the lines, I couldn’t track Bernhard Langer down at anything more appealing than +500. As gifted and reliable as the 61-year-old German is, I just can’t get behind the limited upside presented at +500.
There are some other names I fully anticipate getting into contention, though, and that’s where I’ll be allocating my betting funds this week.
Who Will Contend at the 2019 Insperity Invitational?
I expect some money to flood in on Kirk Triplett, and I fully understand why. The 57-year-old product of UNR has finished first or second in four of his last five starts on the Champions Tour, not to mention he’s ranked 2nd in birdie average.
But believe it or not, there are a few other guys whose chances I fancy even more.
Jeff Maggert Is Playing a Home Game
The Houston resident knows the Woodlands CC like the back of his hand and has some positive results here to fall back on. Jeff placed second here in 2016 and 2018 but has struggled with his putter for the bulk of 2019.
If there was ever a place to get the flat stick rolling, I’d reckon his home course is a good place to start.
Kevin Sutherland Shouldn’t Be Overlooked
Slotted fourth in the latest edition of the Charles Schwab Cup Money List, Kevin Sutherland is quietly becoming an assassin on the Champions Tour. In eight starts thus far in 2019, Sutherland has landed inside the top 6 an incredible five times.
Kevin is balancing a steady putter (7th in putting average) with above-average ball striking and just seems to have a knack for putting himself in contention.
For one, the 55-year-old Spaniard is yet to finish outside the top 25 in seven starts, shooting par or better during 19 of his 21 rounds thus far. Secondly, Miguel clocks in at 2nd on the Champions Tour in putts per round and ranks 4th in scrambling.
Sounds like all we need is for Jimenez to strike the ball halfway decently, and he should give himself a chance at a victory.
Scott McCarron Is Hungry for More
A win at the Mitsubishi Electric Classic vaulted Scott McCarron to the top of the Charles Schwab Cup standings. Scott would love to remain there for as long as possible, and playing the superb golf that he displayed is his best chance at securing his top position.
With five top-5s and more than $666,000 already in the bank, McCarron can afford to rest on his laurels if he wants to. However, with Scott currently hitting and putting the ball as dependably as he is, look for him to pounce on the opportunity to rack up some more quality finishes.
Who knows? Another victory could be on the horizon.
My Pick to Win the Insperity Invitational
I was all set on choosing David Toms as my pick to win but kept on doing research. A while later, I thought I had settled on Brandt Jobe being “my guy” but was then swayed off when I realized he has won just once on the Champions Tour before.
Colin Montgomerie seemed like a solid choice as the Scottish-born golfer has finished 14th or better in seven of his eight starts this year, but there’s another man who represents even more value on the betting sheet.
Perry placed 5th at Woodlands CC in 2018 and was the runner up here the year before. I’m not saying that the acclaimed venue north of Houston owes the Kentucky native a single thing, but I will tell you that Kenny is the top-rated ball striker on the PGA Tour Champions this season.
Kenny is second in total driving and second in greens in regulation (GIR), plus owns the third-lowest final-round scoring average.
Perry is just a hot putter away from shooting some really low numbers, and this could be the week he puts it all together.
Summing It Up
It’s impossible to determine who is going to win the 2019 Insperity Invitational at this point. All we can do is take the information we have at our disposal and make the most educated predictions we can.
A wager on Bernhard Langer might seem like the obvious play, but I prefer the payoff attached to a Kenny Perry victory a whole lot more!