Belmont Stakes Sleepers 2019 – Finding the Betting Value
Updated: August 18, 2022
The 2019 Triple Crown has been unlike any we’ve ever seen.
First, the winner of the Kentucky Derby gets disqualified.
Then a longshot bet steals the win.
And then neither horse even runs in the Preakness Stakes?
If that weren’t enough, Improbable was the favorite going into the Preakness, and even he couldn’t win. Horse racing bettors just keep getting tossed curveballs when they’re expecting fastballs.
And it hasn’t been fun.
Tell that to the people who bet on Country House at the Kentucky Derby or War of Will at the Preakness, I guess. Of course, Country House was all of the lucky, while War of Will was a top challenger viewed by many to be a direct threat to win the Preakness.
He’s slated to again be one of the top favorites to take home the 2019 Belmont Stakes, as the top horse racing betting sites give him the second-best odds (+333).
The field isn’t set yet, though, and there’s still time to peruse the fluid list of participants going into June 8th’s showdown at Belmont Park. Before the race arrives, it may be wise to check out the latest Belmont Stakes betting odds and research every horse presently in line to get a crack at a prestigious prize.
Let’s first check out the latest odds and then highlight a few Belmont Stakes sleepers bettors may want to take interest in.
2019 Belmont Stakes Odds to Win
Tacitus enters as the clear favorite despite War of Will winning the Preakness Stakes. The Juddmonte Farms product finished a respectable third at the Kentucky Derby and skipped the Preakness, so he’ll be fresh and ready to take down the competition.
He’s been quite good to this point, as a third-place run at the Kentucky Derby isn’t anything to scoff at, and he also owns huge wins at the Wood Memorial and Tampa Bay Derby.
Nobody can really argue with Tacitus as the new favorite, but it sure is interesting that the horse coming off the Preakness win offers such tantalizing value.
Decide for yourself after dissecting the latest 2019 Belmont Stakes betting odds, per Bovada.lv.
War of Will+333
Code of Honor+800
Plus Que Parfait+1500
Country House seems like an elite betting value here, but he’s actually already been ruled out of the Belmont Stakes. He was the first Kentucky Derby winner to sit out of the Preakness in over 20 years, too, contributing to a very wacky Triple Crown season.
This just goes to show that this entire situation is remarkably fluid and that even the best horse racing sportsbooks won’t always have the odds aligning with the actual field.
Maybe it’s just wishful thinking on everyone’s part, as Country House did win the Kentucky Derby, and it’d be awfully fun to see if he could win again. Unfortunately, betting on him looks like a gigantic waste of money.
Tacitus, War of Will, and Game Winner look to be the best overall bets going into the 2019 Belmont Stakes, but Country House showed us big upsets can happen.
The question is if one will go down on June 8th and if you’ll back the horse that does it.
Best Belmont Stakes Sleepers
Last week, I broke down my favorite horse racing sleepers going into the Preakness, but Win Win Win was the only horse I liked that did anything of merit (6th).
That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t consider betting on Belmont Stakes sleepers that offer a little bang for your buck. Here are three I think could be worth the fuss.
There’s no denying that Owendale is right down the middle between top challenger and true sleeper, but this is a really nice price for a horse seemingly capable of making a push for a big win.
Owendale was impressive at the Preakness (3rd) and got a big win at Lexington in the middle of April. The Rupp Racing colt has two wins to his name and has finished inside the top three in every race this year, save for the difficult Risen Star.
We’ve seen this horse display the ability to rally and some nice closing speed, but it’s obviously worth wondering if that will translate late on the longest track in the Triple Crown.
The odds suggest he’s at least in the mix, but it’s a pretty nice price for a talented and productive horse. If you like Owendale, do yourself a favor and shop around before placing a wager.
Other Belmont Stakes betting sites like SportsBetting.ag have him listed at +700, so depending on where you bet on the 2020 Belmont Stakes prop bets, you could enhance your betting upside a bit.
How can we not at least lend a cursory glance toward Everfast, who is a Calumet Farms alum and was even better than Owendale at the Preakness?
That’s right, Everfast finished runner-up on the huge stage, which was a far cry from the 5th, 9th, and 8th-place runs in its previous three races.
This suggests Everfast, while talented, is quite the mixed bag. Those sluggish performances can’t be ignored, but it’s worth noting that not crushing the competition in massive events like the Florida Derby and the Fountain of Youth Stakes shouldn’t be seen as a serious negative.
I’d have liked to see him run better, but a second-place finish before that at the 2019 Holy Bull showcased his ability again.
Closing and consistency are obviously question marks, but Everfast could be a fun Belmont Stakes sleeper if it’s dialed in on June 8th.
There are certainly other Belmont Stakes sleepers to peruse, and honestly, with the field not official, more could break in, and some big names could always drop out.
I’ll wrap things up with Spinoff, who offers the second-highest price tag going into June’s race. That’s mildly surprising, too, considering he’s a Todd Pletcher trainee and has been very competitive for much of 2019.
Four top-three finishes including a strong second-place run at the 2019 Louisiana Derby make Spinoff an underrated option here, especially since most will ignore him after finishing 18th at the Kentucky Derby.
I do question Spinoff’s ability to last during a 12-furlong race, but he’s shown to be competitive and has the training to pull off something special. Longshots don’t normally win these races that often, but at +1600 odds, I can’t completely ignore Spinoff.
Who Will Win the 2019 Belmont Stakes?
I think it’s simply going to be down to Tacitus and War of Will, assuming he runs. I expect he will, as he can defend his Preakness crown and completely make up for a lackluster Kentucky Derby showing (7th).
We have seen the favorite fall in two straight races, and War of Will offers double the value. I have no qualms with the extra roll of the dice, especially considering Tacitus is no sure thing.
I do think it would be wise to refrain from heavy Belmont Stakes betting until we know the final field. That being said, some of these horses will never offer more value than they do right now.
Of the Belmont Stakes sleepers listed above, Everfast is probably my favorite based on talent, pedigree, and odds. If you’re putting a lot of money on just one horse, though, I like War of Will to win again if he, in fact, runs.
PICKWar of Will+333
Whichever way you decide to bet, be sure to check out our list of the top Belmont Stakes betting sites. We’ve handpicked the very best online racebooks to bet on this race, all of which are safe and trusted operations.
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