Sam Darnold and the New York Jets will be looking to pull off an even bigger upset than the one they recorded in Week 6 when they host Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in their Week 7 AFC East divisional matchup. With Darnold looking to shine again and the Pats looking to avoid their first loss of the season, let’s find out which team is looking like the best pick to cover the chalk in this matchup.
Patriots vs Jets 2019 NFL Week 7 Odds, Preview & Pick
- Showers Late: 12°C/54°F
- Humidity: 79%
- Precipitation: 40%
- Wind: 6 mph ENE
- Cloud Cover: 64%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Bet On New England?
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that there are a ton of great reasons to back the Patriots (4-2 ATS) in this Week 7 pairing. First, New England is ranked first in scoring (31.7 ppg) and first in fewest points allowed (8.0 ppg). Then, there’s the fact that the Pats have put 33 points or more on the board in each of the last two weeks while not allowing more than 14 points in wins over Washington and the New York Giants, two teams that are similar to the Jets. Last but not least, New England has the huge edge in coaching with Bill Belichick being so far ahead of Adam Gase that it’s not even funny.
- Average Score For: 31.67
- Total Yards: 386.66
- Pass Yards: 284.83
- Rush Yards: 101.83
- Average Score Against: 8
- Total Yards: 234.17
- Pass Yards: 160.50
- Rush Yards: 73.67
Why Bet On the NY Jets?
The Jets (2-3 ATS) might have just one victory this season, but they recorded it a week ago by upsetting Dallas 24-22. With quarterback Sam Darnold back under center a week ago, the Jets looked infinitely better than they did with rookie Luke Falk calling the shots. Then, there’s the fact that the jets have some nice talent surrounding Darnold starting with former perennial All-Pro running back Le’Veon Bell and veteran wide receivers Jamison Crowder and Robby Anderson. Last but not least, there’s the fact that the Jets have gone a bankroll-boosting 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning road record.
- Average Score For: 9.75
- Total Yards: 179.50
- Pass Yards: 113.50
- Rush Yards: 66
- Average Score Against: 25.25
- Total Yards: 347.75
- Pass Yards: 260.25
- Rush Yards: 87.50
NFL Week 7 Betting Trends for Patriots vs Jets
- Patriots are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games
- Patriots are 10-0 SU in the last 10 games
- The total went UNDER in 13 of New England’s last 18 games
- Jets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games
- Jets are 1-7 SU in the last 8 games
- The total went UNDER in 4 of the Jets’ last 6 games
Patriots vs Jets Expert Analysis and Prediction
The Jets might be playing at home and they might have the gifted Sam Darnold under center, but New England is so much better than New York on both sides of the ball that I just can’t put any faith in the Jets covering the nearly double-digit spread in this contest.
I know New York has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six home dates against New England and that the home team in this series has gone 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings, but the Patriots are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and they just don’t look like they’re going to get upset by a team of New York’s caliber. I’m going with Tom Brady and company to get it done in this one and you should too!
Pick: New England 31 NY Jets 17
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