Arbitrage/Parlay/Challenge Daily - 2/13/19 (Wednesday)

Pick of the Day – 7/1/19 (Monday)

Post **ONE** pick. No side picks in comments. You can provide a link to your other picks in the other daily threads.
**|** No parlays/teasers, please use the parlay/teaser thread for those. **|** Must be between -200 and +200 (1.5 and 3.0) **|** Provide a write up on why this is your Pick of the Day. If it is a system/model play please note relevant data such as ROI or record **and** provide an overview/description of your model or system. **|** You **must** note **time/sport/event** of your pick. **|** No top level comments without a pick. **|** Please report posts that do not meet the requirements. **|** [Basic template for posting](https://www.reddit.com/r/Sportsbooktest/comments/9y1fe9/potd_template/?) **| [Sportsbook List](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/wiki/sportsbooks) | [/r/sportsbook chat](https://discordapp.com/invite/0z5FKenGSBLokq4s) | [General Discussion/Questions Biweekly](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%22General+Discussion%2FQuestions+Biweekly%22&restrict_sr=on&sort=new&t=all) | [Futures Monthly](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%22Futures+Monthly%22&restrict_sr=on&sort=new&t=all) | [Models and Statistics Monthly](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%22models+and+statistics+monthly%22&restrict_sr=on&sort=new&t=all) | [Podcasts Monthly](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%22Podcasts+Monthly%22&restrict_sr=on&sort=new&t=all) |**

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11 Comments

  1. **POTD Record**: 15-10-0 +14,64U

    Last POTD: Uruguay TT Over 1.5 vs Peru @2.05 3U **L**

    **POTD**: **Portland Timbers ML vs FC Dallas @1.75 5U MAX BET**

    04:00 GMT – Starts in approximately 6 hours

    **Reason: WORST WEEK EVER IS FINALLY OVER!** Heading to a new week and I promise you guys we´ll get back to almost +30U in no time. After those 2 days with 2 93rd minute goals, Uruguay managed to score 3 times, ALL 3 WERE OVERTURNED, at least the 2nd one should have counted. But oh well, time to raise our heads and enter a new week, a profitable one. MLS is all about goals and home teams, and we have a Portland team that has only played 2 home games, and the last one was an expressive 4-0 against Houston Dynamo. It´s now time to win another Texan team. Brian Fernandez and Valeri are rested (didn´t play in Montreal), so everything points to a Portland win. Also laying 2U in -1.5 @2.60! BOL!

    EDIT: UPGRADED IT TO MAX BET

    EDIT #2: FINALLY BACK TO W

  2. POTD Record W-L-P (4-2-0)

    Form: ✅✅❌✅✅❌

    Last POTD: Dalkurd v Vasteras SK 1u, Home Win ❌

    ​

    China Super League

    Shanghai Shenhau v **Guanghzou Evergrande, Away Win** 1u, (odd:1.76) —–(12:35 GMT) ~14hrs from now ✅

    ​

    Reason:

    1. Guanghzou won their last 4 away games in the league

    2. Guanghzou are third in the league

    3. Shanghai are dead last in home form and 3rd to last in the league

  3. Pick of the Day! Record 18-10-0 +11.76 Units

    Call of Duty! THIS IS FOR Tuesday July 2nd

    ** EDIT ** obviously this isn’t the thread for tuesday, but the lines are gonna move. so.

    eUnited ML vs. GenG @ -102 & 3.0 Units

    ​

    Kind of surprising that eUnited are the underdogs here. Yes, all COD fans know that GenG came in second at the last event… WELL. In some seemingly uncalled for turn of events, GenG dropped one of their players, Nagafen, for their substitute Spacely. Spcaley, although having been a professional COD player as long as a lot of the guys in the scene, is a great player. However, he has not been up against CWL level competition that recently, not even playing that well in the open bracket. This is a great line to have in favor of eUnited. eUnited is an amazing team who has popped off in the pro league and has placed second and fifth in the last two events. Last event was disappointing for them getting the 5-6 placing, however, their team doesn’t look shook. They have good vibes and team chemistry, and honestly, if they can ever find the formula that gets Prestinni rolling, they could contend for the top again.

    ​

    For more Call of Duty picks and other esports information and picks, follow me on Twitter! [Twitter.com/BetsCryp](https://Twitter.com/BetsCryp)

  4. 7/1/19

    Pick Record 203-143-37(W-L-P)

    WWWLWLWLLPLWWLWLPWWWWPWLWWWWPPWWLWWWLLWWWLWWPWLLWLWLWWWWWPWWWWLWWWWWLPLLWWWWLWLPWLWPLWLWLLLWWWWLWLLWWLPLWLWPWPWWLWWPLLLWWLWPLPLLLWWWWWLPWLLLWWLLWLWWLWLWWLLLLWLWWWWWLWLDLLW

    Previous Pick

    • Tromsdalen Over 3 W

    Today’s Pick

    • Sligo Rovers -1 @1.80

    UC Dublin have lost 10 league matches in a row which they conceded 19 goals scoring only a single goal. I haven’t seen a team with such a bad form in forever.
    Sligo is just mediocre tbh they’re 3-2-5 in their last 10 they scored 12 goals and conceded 14. They’re not a great team but they should be good enough to win against UC Dublin.

    Ireland Premier League

    Time : 18.45

    note: I cannot guarantee a 100% pick but I can guarantee that I’m betting on my pick so, win or lose I’m in this with you and also remember to gamble responsibly.

    Telegram for multiple picks and live bets. I’m currently 112-84-14(W-L-P) live betting. https://t.me/onrsz

  5. Last POTD: Great Britain -2.5 ✔

    **Fiba Eurobasket womens Playoffs**

    Sweden vs Latvia (11:30 AM ET)

    **POTD:** Latvia ML @2.16 **3U**

    This game is for the right to enter the quarter-finals of the 2019 Eurobasket women. Both of these teams have finished the group rounds with a 1-2 record.

    Great value here on Latvia for this game is going to be played in their nation’s capital city. Plus they got one of the best Scorer in the tournament Elina Dikaioulaku, who is averaging 23 points per game.

    They’re gonna get this done in front of their home crowd. Let’s gooooo!

  6. **Record:** 2W-0P-1L | +5.21U

    Last Pick: Cavalry FC ML @ 1.8 5U **W**

    I mostly bet on Canadian soccer. The Canadian Premier League is a very new league, so unfortunately not a lot of books have lines up. The situation has been improving though with much more coverage recently. Your book may add it closer to kickoff. My odds are from bet365 and you might be able to find better [elsewhere](https://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/canada/canadian-premier-league/york-9-cavalry-6kZaMRX3/)

    Canadian Premier League (Soccer)

    **Match:** Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC (10pm GMT, in roughly 24 hours)

    **Pick:** Pacific FC or Draw Double Chance @ 2.2 2U

    This game is meaningless for Cavalry. Having won the spring season, a boost on the aggregate table won’t help them. Cavalry will be resting players and trying to avoid injuries in preparation for their match against the Vancouver Whitecaps, an MLS side, in about 10 days. Additionally, Cavalry are also going to be playing most, if not all of their U21 players. The CPL has a 1000 minute U21 requirement, and Cavalry have less than 100 minutes going into the fall season, so this meaningless game will be a good opportunity to work towards that requirement.

    Pacific haven’t been the best team, but they’ve shown that they can score against stronger teams and are playing at home. Cavalry have shown signs of weakness in the past as well, getting outplayed by many other teams in the first half before ‘waking up’. I think there’s good value on the DC here without books not fully taking account the U21 player rotation and lack of need to win. Odds are quite a bit lower compared to the York9 game on Wednesday (1.8 vs 1.63), and that was pretty much a must win for Cavalry.

  7. **Pick of the Day Record: 0-0-0 (W-L-P)**

    First pick of the day! We’ll see how this goes.

    **Pick of the Day: Morocco ML vs. South Africa (+122 on BetOnline)**

    12:00 EDT or six hours from now.

    **Reasoning:** South Africa’s only African Cup of Nations win thus far is against the bottom-of-the group Nimibia team. During this win, they managed 17 shots but only managed to score one time which is an abysmal conversion. Even with the 1-0 shutout win, they still only have an even goal differential. Morocco, on the other hand, has two consecutive shutouts with one of them coming against a pretty decent Ivory Coast team. The combination of South Africa only having scored one goal so far with a terrible conversion rate and the fact that Morocco is shutting out teams as it is, I imagine this will be a win for Morocco, although probably a low scoring game.

  8. **Häcken – Hammarby**
    Allsvenskan Sweden
    Time: 19:00

    Häcken 17 goals in 12 games.
    Hammarby 20 goals in 12 games.
    Two very offensive teams. Both Häcken and Hammarby miss there best defenders. Hammarby has there third keeper in goal also. I think it will be lot of goal.

    **Bet: Both team to score**
    **Odds: 1.65**
    **Units: 8**

    I am a predictor for a betting community on discord which is where I release all my predictions, a direct link to the channel can be found on my twitter. @betwaybet

  9. POTD Record: 19-16

    Form:WLWLWWWWLWLLWLLWLWWLWWLLLLLWWWWLLWW

    Streak:W2

    Last Pick: Tigers Team Total Under 2.5 +110 WIN

    Easy money. Tigers scored 1 run as the Nationals won 2-1

    Today’s Pick:

    MLB

    6:05 pm CDT

    Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

    The Pick: Game Over 9.5 Runs -115

    Both teams have been going over more often then not in their home and road stands. In the Pirates starter’s last 2 games he gave up run totals of 4 and 7. Pittsburgh also has a horrid bullpen. The Cubs starter has only started 2 games this season with going over 4 innings 1 time. Though he only gave up 1 run a piece in those outings, I look for him to have it rough against a team that has been hot as of late. I look for this play to cash around the 7th inning. Although, hammer lightly

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