NBA Daily Discussion - 2/15/19 (Friday)

Pick of the Day – 5/14/19 (Tuesday)

Post **ONE** pick. No side picks in comments. You can provide a link to your other picks in the other daily threads.
**|** No parlays/teasers, please use the parlay/teaser thread for those. **|** Must be between -200 and +200 (1.5 and 3.0) **|** Provide a write up on why this is your Pick of the Day. If it is a system/model play please note relevant data such as ROI or record **and** provide an overview/description of your model or system. **|** You **must** note **time/sport/event** of your pick. **|** No top level comments without a pick. **|** Please report posts that do not meet the requirements. **|** [Basic template for posting]( **| [Sportsbook List]( | [/r/sportsbook chat]( | [General Discussion/Questions Biweekly]( | [Futures Monthly]( | [Models and Statistics Monthly]( | [Podcasts Monthly]( |**

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  1. **POTD Record W-L-P 69-33.5-2.5 | +56.294u**

    Last 10: WWWLLWWPW**W**

    Tennis / Challenger Gwangju / Nam vs Sugita 0:40 am est

    Sugita ML@1.65 2u

    Lay to Nam, he is an ITF player that is only here after after getting a wild card and beating another itf player on the 1R.Sugita had the best year of his carrer in 2017 when he won his only ATP title, but in 2018 he had a terrible year and he seems to be a normal Challenger player now, winning and losing the same amount of games on Challengers.

    Sugita wins the h2h 3-0, their matches happened 5 years ago but the skill gap should still be there

    twitter: @peruvianhope

    discord invitation: Rjw2WWk

    blogabet: [](

  2. Slovakia -1.5 @ 2.40 – IIHF Hockey Vs. Germany.

    Slovakia just beat USA 4-1, almost beat Canada 5-6 today…and the tournament is being hosted in Slovakia. This is a no brainer.

  3. Record: 1-0-0 || Profit: 1 Unit

    Yesterday: Bologna ML (-130) **W**


    WHO: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-115) vs Colorado Rockies

    WHEN: 7:10 PM ET

    WHY: They are 8-2 over their last 10 games after a slow start, Chris Sales has given up 1 run over his last 14 innings, and the Colorado Rockies are traveling across the country for the first game of the series here.

    Please let me know how I can improve the format of these write ups, thanks!

  4. Record 7-5-0 +0.63u

    NBA – Trail Blazers @ Warriors – 9:00 pm EST

    POTD: Warriors -7.5 (-110) 1.1u

    In addition to being the better team, the Warriors are also better rested and at home. Kevin Durant is out again, which is why this spread isn’t -9.5 or perhaps even higher, but the Warriors do nearly as well as a team whether he plays or not. Portland is not nearly good enough of a defensive team to compete with Golden State, ranking only 16th best in regular season defensive rating.

  5. 1-0 Record in POTD
    esports – Call of Duty – Optic Gaming ML vs. Gen.G @ +111 (1.5u)

    No system or model being used. Optic had a very strong showing at London before losing in winners finals to 100T and then losing all confidence against eUnited in losers finals. Optic will be bouncing back to come back to CWL. My confidence in this pick come from how Optic has seemed to have solved its problems when it comes to their respawn play while maintaining SnD dominance. The match will probably go to 5 games 3-2 OG.

  6. **RKC Waalwijk vs NEC Nijmegen : Netherlands – Playoff** *AET 02:30*

    `NEC Nijmegen to win @2.83 Bet365`

    Nijmegen is unbeaten in their last seven matches and won six of them. They have won 8 of the last 9 H2Hs only loosing once in the last 6 years.

    This is the second leg of the tie that Nijmegen won 2 to nil in opening match.
    This will be open with Waalwijk going all out, but they tried all out last match after going 2 down 15mins in and couldn’t get the job done.

    Same should happen here, with Nijmegen expected to be deadly in the space this creates.
    I don’t see a tie as the match should be too open, therefore going for the straight away win.

    **POTD Record 4-2**

    *Sixers VS Raptors : NBA*
    *Pascal Siakam over 1.5 three’s made @1.83* L

  7. 5/14/19

    Pick Record 183-124-35(W-L-P)


    Previous Pick

    • Viking Double Chance W

    Today’s Pick

    • NK Rudar Velenje Double Chance @1.91

    Gorica have won 1 drawn 2 and lost 7 in their last 10 games covering the spread on only 20% of their games and is in the relegation zone . NK Rudar lost 4 drawn 3 and won 3 of their last 10 games.They should probably be able to handle Gorica comfortably and get a point out of this


    ~~Slovakia D1~~ Slovenia D1


    note: I cannot guarantee a 100% pick but I can guarantee that I’m betting on my pick so, win or lose I’m in this with you and also remember to gamble responsibly.

    Sorry for the lack out reply,my time zone’s is very different to yours right now (GMT+9).

  8. POTD Record 2-2-1 //// LWLWP

    Saturday’s Pick: AVANGAR ML (vs Heroic) @ 1.61 (esports, ESL One Cologne Qualifier) Result: VOID – one of the Heroic team is unfortunately ill so the match has been postponed, get well soon.

    Today’s Pick: Gen.G -1.5 maps @ 1.52 (vs Midnight Esports) (COD – CWL Pro League) (Starts: 21:30 BST ~ 21 hours from this post)

    EDIT: Result: WIN – Easy money, despite midnight playing better than usual, Gen.G are just too good and win the best of 5 with a score of 3 maps to nil. Enjoy if u tailed 🙂

    Reasoning: Gen.G are a top level team who progressed far in CWL London. They were 2-0 up against the eventual champions but unfortunately lost 3-2. Midnight are not on Gen.G’s level at all and i think they struggle here. Gen.G are one of the top respawn teams in the whole of CWL and i expect a 3-0 or 3-1 win.

    Please stake responsibly, nothing is a sure thing in gambling. Good luck to those who tail.

  9. **TAMPA BAY @ MIAMI | 7:10 PM EDT**

    The Miami Marlins have just 10 wins on the year and home field advantage offering no help — they’re 6-15 in Miami. Caleb Smith is solid looking for a good game from the Marlins starter, but Charlie Morton is better, as are the TB Rays’ hitters as well as their bull pen. Tampa wins in two-thirds of my model sims, showing value on the favorite.

    ****TAMPA BAY -141***


  10. Decided to share my picks with reddit users since I’ve been doing great lately and just maybe might bring some luck to other users. Havn’t done this before, been betting for a long time, have had my luck and failures but it’s all part of the process. Mostly I bet on NBA, NHL, a little bit of tennis and other stuff so you can expect that from me if I decide to stick around.


    **POTD Record 0-0**


    **WTA Rome Premier 5**

    Ostapenko vs. Buzarnescu: **Ostapenko -2.5 @1.8 2U** *Result:* Ostapenko retired so got my money back.

    If Ostapenko wants to be drawn for French open, she has to win atleast 2 games in the tournament. She has won 2 out of 3 games playing against Buzarnescu and the games havn’t been close. She may have some struggles but she should cover this one.

    **IIHF World Championship**

    Latvia vs Italy: **Latvia -3.5 @2.03 3U** *Result:* **L**

    Italy has been the worst team in group B having 0 goals scored and 17 scored against them. Italy has only played top teams in the tournament so far but overall they have looked terrible. Latvia on the otherhand scored 5 against Austria winning 5-2 and was tied with Switzerland till the end of the game when Switzerland scored 3 minutes before the end of the game and took it 3-1 but both teams were battling and played a good game. I expect the latvian NHL players and their experienced guys to cover. If Merzlikins will be in the net, the game might even be a shoutout, the guy has been outstanding during the World Championships having 94.5% save procentage last year with 1.5GAA and did well against Switzerland aswell only allowing 2 goals on 36 shots. This guy will have a bright future playing for Blue Jackets in NHL.


    Added the late games aswell.

    Germany vs. France: **Germany -1.5 @1.88 3U** *Result:* **W**

    Switzerland vs. Austria: **Switzerland -2.5 @1.69 3U** *Result:* ***W***


    **Best of luck!**

  11. 2-0 Record in POTD – esports – Call of Duty – Faze ML vs. Luminosity @ -103 (1.5 Units)

    Faze is a team that showed up very strong to the CWL London event. Faze lost to Luminosity 2-3 in the losers bracket at CWL London in controversial fashion. The 3rd game was a game of control that ended 3-2 in Luminosity’s favor, however it seems as the public opinion is that Faze was robbed and should have taken the control to go up 2-1 in the series. They consequently won the second hardpoint by a decent margin, and would have won the series 3-1 against LG. however they lost the game 5 SND. I think Faze is going to come into this match with plenty of confidence after 3-0’ing UYU yesterday and looking to exact revenge on LG.

  12. **Record POTD: 4-5-0 (-1.825U)**

    **Last 5** **LLWWL**

    *Last pick* [here](

    **Syman ML** vs Ancient @ 2.10 2u ***L***

    *Today’s pick*

    **Avangar -1,5** vs Virtus Pro @ 1.90 2u ***W***

    *units size from 1 to 3u based on confidence level*

    *Esports, CS:GO, ECS EU, 20:00 CEST time* – here you can see when it starts in your region > [hltv link](

    Placing bet on Avangar because they are on absolute roll lately, destroying almost everyone on their way. Hellraisers, North and yesterday forZe? no problem, all matches 2-0. And all of those teams are certainly better than current Virtus Pro – they do finally show some promise but still have much to improve. Yeah, they defeated FaZe Clan yesterday, but NiKo went negative on all 3 maps and that doesn’t happen like ever + latest addition of Neo also didn’t help. This win nonetheless may seem impressive, yet VP later that day played 2 matches in ESL Polish League against PACT and lost their map pick nuke 16-7 and then drew second map 15-15 (they were leading 14-9 and were playing against weak force buy).
    Avangar are much better team right now, this would be 3u max bet if not for vertigo in the map pool. Avangar only played it once and lost on it miserably but it’s been 3 weeks since that loss, maybe they’ve already figured it out. Still they are much better aimers and OKOLICIOUZ is underperforming heavily in VP (for example had 4 frags on nuke against PACT).

  13. **71-51-5** on POTD in 2018 **up 34.13 units**

    **34-37-2** on POTD in 2019 **down 48.94 units**

    This Nba game starts at 9:00 PM EST

    **Trail Blazers +8** at -115 for 5 units. Blazers went 1-1 at the Oracle this season. Kevin Durant is still out. Portland should control the paint and the free throw line as the Warriors are one of the worst teams in both of those categories. They are the best at other obvious categories like shooting and assists. The Blazers know they have to win one of these first two games if they want to move on to the Finals. Damian and CJ are 1-8 against the Warriors in the playoffs, but I think that record improves during this series. Taking the points tonight.

    Best of luck. For more info and plays visit [](

  14. POTD RECORD 0-0

    **NHL // Bruins @ Hurricanes // 7:00 CST**

    I’m riding my boy **Teravainen o2.5 shots** at +105

    He has 3 or more shots in 8/13 playoff games and 3/5 at home. Plus I think the canes come out hot.

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