Pick of the Day - 2/15/19 (Friday)

NHL Daily Discussion – 5/14/19 (Tuesday)

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  1. Bruins are about to win their 6th straight game with no signs of letting up. Rask is playing the best hockey of his life. Time off waiting for a sure 7 game series out West is the only thing that may hurt this run

  2. Ultimately went with two team parlay with ML on both Warriors and Bruins. Feel like the Bruins game will be high scoring but close with a bruins win and the warriors should win comfortably.

    20 bucks pays out 55.

  3. I don’t see value on either side of the moneyline, but Boston -1.5 @ +290 has a little value to my eye. 8 of the 10 Bruin wins this post season have been by 2+ goals, and 28 of their 49 regular season wins were by 2+.

    A couple of props I like tonight are Teuvo Teravainen to score a goal +305. TT has scored in 6 of his last 10 games. Over 2.5 shots on goal at +105 is also appealing.

    Jacob Slavin to score a point +120 isn’t bad either. He’s gone a little cold to start this series, but still has points in 7 of 13 playoff games. Rod Brind’Amour will be riding his horses tonight in a desperate situation, I expect 25+ minutes played from Slavin.

  4. I know this will likely not be a popular pick, but nonetheless here is my pick:

    The Stanley Cup Playoffs is proving to be as random as advertised. I want to think Carolina will win tonight. They have shown persistence in this postseason already, having been down 2-0 in the Washington series. I am not going to count them out, but I also am not entirely confident in this team getting it done tonight. I am feeling the under tonight, but more specifically Boston under 2.5, and it rides on the Canes making a goalie change. Curtis McElhinney is the expected starter tonight [source](https://www.rotowire.com/hockey/starting-goalies.php). I think this will be a good change of pace for the Canes. McElhinney had a season SV% of .912 which would be way better than Mrazek’s .852 in Game 1 and .76 in Game 2. I think a new look against the Bruins is needed. In Game 1 Boston had 4 goals on 27 shots and in Game 2 they had 6 goals on 25 shots. Game 1 was a lot closer than the scoreboard, and Game 2… not so much. I don’t see this team rolling over in front of their home crowd. I see the combination of the low volume shots Carolina has allowed and the different look in net is going to hold the Bruins under 2.5. Boston has been red hot, so I can see why this may be a bad/risky play, they have not scored under 2.5 goals since Game 3 against Columbus, and have only scored under that total 5 times this postseason. On top of that they are averaging 3.4 goals per game in the playoffs. So I understand not tailing on this one…. I am still rolling with it though.

    My Play: **TT Boston Bruins u2.5 (-105) – 1U**

  5. **NHL Picks May 14:**

    * **Hurricanes -120** vs. Bruins, 1.2 units to win 1 unit

    *All (playoff) picks for individual games are 1 unit bet on dogs, or slightly more placed “to win” 1 unit on favorites.*

    **Previous Day Picks:**

    * No plays.

    **Pending Bets:**

    * **Carolina +350** to win the East, 1 unit to win 3.5 units
    * **Blues +110** for the series, 2 units
    * **Hurricanes +350** to win the Cup, 1 unit
    * **Hurricanes +265** to win the series, 1 unit
    * **Hurricanes +1.5 games** in the series at +125, 1 unit

    **NHL Playoff Pick Totals:**

    15-9; +11.83 units; 47.40% ROI

    **NHL Playoff Series Totals:**

    8-3; +23.43 units; 90.46% ROI

    **NHL Regular Season Pick Totals:**

    42-43; +59.55 units; 39.97% ROI

    Follow me on Twitter [@MajorMajor_2](https://twitter.com/MajorMajor_2) for picks posted a bit before on Reddit. Check out the [Google sheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1E6XwcezUh4MvfHo6yyuvVjSYSibNGa2nPbbb9bt9JI8/edit?usp=sharing) for pick tracking and history.

  6. Curious – What are typical strategies for betting individual games for a series that you already bet on the outcome. For instance, I have series wagers on the Bruins and Blues to win. I have bet all 4 games so far, winning both on the Bruins puckline and going 1-1 on the Blues ML. Is this a stupid strategy to continue?

  7. Not enough value to pick either team ML in my opinion (-115 b’s, -105 canes), but did have +270 for the bruins -1.5, so just put a unit on that. Only value I can find here.

    The over might be a good play since the canes will either play a rattled Mrazek or a cold McElhinney. Tuukka has still been sharp though (minus that turnover last game) so it’s a tough call.

  8. Bruins vs. Hurricanes Game 3, Is Carolina Toast?

    After a tough-luck loss in Game 1 and Carolina not-showing up in Game 2 they now find themselves down 2-0 against the Boston Bruins.

    I liked Carolina in the first two games as well as for Game 3, I would expect a lot action to back Boston coming off the Game 2 spanking of the canes.

    What do you all think?

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